LAS VEGAS — It’s Winter Meetings time, which means, of course, that it’s Kyle Schwarber trade rumor season.
Every winter since he made his MLB debut in the middle of the 2015 season, Schwarber has found his name linked in trade rumors.
Yet the Cubs have not taken the bait, instead doubling and tripling down on Schwarber as a player and as an important part of the team’s core.
So it wasn’t a surprise when USA TODAY’s Bob Nightengale reported Sunday teams have inquired about trading for Schwarber but were turned away.
We know the Cubs don’t deal in untouchables thanks to the Kris Bryant trade conversation earlier this winter, but Schwarber is right up there with players the organization has no interest in selling unless they’re blown away with the return.
“Nothing’s changed,” Cubs GM Jed Hoyer said Monday. “We really believe in him. He’s an incredibly gifted hitter and we fully believe in the makeup. In general, I think you can ask a similar question about almost any guy in our core. For a reason, we ‘ve stuck by these guys and we’ve won a lot of games with these guys and we believe in them.
“Of course there’s no untouchables and we’ve said that over and over, so whenever these rumors come out — ‘would they trade any of these guys?’ Of course. We never have an untouchable. We do believe in these guys. If we didn’t believe in them, we certainly would’ve changed course by now.
“The last three years, we’ve made a real effort to have this group together and I think we’re still gonna win a lot of games as a group.”
The day after the Cubs’ 2018 season ended in disappointing fashion, Theo Epstein discussed the need to evaluate the team’s young position players on production rather than potential.
While Schwarber took some steps forward in 2018, he still falls into that category. Sure, he drastically improved his defense thanks to increased fitness/weight levels. And he improved his walk rate while cutting down on his strikeout rate.
But he still hasn’t morphed into that ever-dangerous hitter that sits in the middle of the Cubs order and strikes fear into opposing pitchers. Schwarber hit 30 homers in 2017 and 26 last season, but drove in just 59 and 61 runs, respectively. He also found himself out of the lineup often against left-handed pitchers.
It’s important to keep in mind that Schwarber is still developing as a hitter and big-league player, missing out on the entire 2016 regular season with that devastating knee injury and enduring prolonged struggles in 2017 due in part to increased pressure hitting in the leadoff spot.
To put it in perspective, Schwarber had a very similar season to Phillies cornerstone player Rhys Hoskins and consider how he compares to fellow teammates Javy Baez and Anthony Rizzo through a similar number of plate appearances through their first three-plus MLB seasons:
Schwarber (1,274 PAs) — .228/.339/.470 (.809 OPS)
Rizzo (1,211 PAs) — .238/.324/.412 (.735 OPS)
Baez (1,267 PAs) — .255/.300/.427 (.727 OPS)
Schwarber was worth 3.2 WAR (FanGraphs) for the Cubs in 2018, but the team knows there’s a lot more in there waiting to be unlocked.
He’s a big reason why the Cubs are betting on an overall team improvement in 2019 thanks to individual steps forward.
“Ultimately, I’ll still go back to what I’ve said over and over each winter is the biggest improvements are going to be from within,” Hoyer said. “No matter what we do from the outside, getting our guys back and getting our team playing like we should is the most important thing.
“We have spent a lot of time on that today as well, talking to Joe, talking to our coaches, talking to our scouts. As much as we talk about external stuff, we never get that far away from the internal improvements we need to make.”